Wednesday, February 18, 2009

The Idea of Barack Obama

President Obama's chief attraction to his followers was never his curriculum vitae. He was the attraction. It was his charm, looks, rhetorical skills, youth, coolness, background, ethnicity, and "newness". These were the characteristics which captivated his supporters and allowed Obama to beat the formidable Clintons and a great American hero, John McCain. This was and still remains a classic case of the cult of the personality.

Although Barack Obama had been associated with a lot of impressive things in his 46 years, for example, he was educated at Ivy League schools, held the top position at the Harvard Law Review, taught at one of North America's best law schools, and was a U.S. Senator, he had little in the way of concrete achievements to show. It was not a history of accomplishment which propelled Barack Obama to the top job in the world. Barack Obama created a movement, which was centered around one idea only - the idea of Barack Obama.

Almost everything that Team Obama did in the campaign and still does, now that Obama is President, seems designed to keep the movement alive. The symbols and gimmickry are front and center. During the primary and election campaigns, for example, we saw the premature Obama "presidential" seal, the "Obama is the change we can believe in" slogan, the Democratic nomination acceptance speech in the Denver Bronco's fooball stadium replete with Roman pillars, and the speech in front of 200,000 people at the Victory Column in Berlin's central park. Having won the election, we saw the Grant Park acceptance speech, the over the top inauguration, the signing of the Stimulus Bill not in Washington but in Denver, the jacketless President in the oval office, the Super Bowl party, and the hip informality where everyone is a "guy", and Air Force One is a "nifty ride". There are the commemorative fake coins, collector's plates, and mountains of T-shirts with Obama's face plastered on them.

All of this wouldn't be so bad if it didn't have consequences. After all, times are tough, the Iraq war soured Americans, people hated George Bush and needed someone they could believe in. But when bread and circuses overtake rational thought, there is a problem.

The fact that Obama's popularity is based on personality and not on performance or policy can be illustrated in a number of ways. Obama's path to the White House and his performance so far is littered with broken promises. The most egregious broken campaign promise was the one relating to the public financing of campaigns. Although Obama stated that he believed in public financing and would sit down with John McCain to work out this matter, he did not do so. Rather he collected hundreds of millions of dollars in private campaign donations, and swamped the campaigns of both Hillary Clinton and later John McCain with his storehouses full of money. Keeping up with Obama's spending on advertisements became impossible for both of his opponents.

Transparency of government, and the ability of Americans to see Congress at work and to view prospective legislation before it is passed is probably the most serious broken promise for Obama as President. The Stimulus Bill, a 1000 plus page document, incorporating $800 billion dollars in spending was drafted in secret, behind closed doors, and passed without any chance for Americans, and probably most members of Congress, to digest or even read. This was the "mother of all bills". No matter how many bills are posted on line in the future, they will never make up for the lack of transparency that accompanied this in-camera monster.

Bipartisanship is another casualty of Obama's first month in office. Obama was the President who would work across the aisle, end the divisiveness in Washington, and bring the country together. This as we have all seen has not happened. Democrats voted for the Bill, Republicans voted against it, and the recriminations have been flying back and forth ever since. Why did bipartisanship fail? My take on it is that bipartisanship did not work because for President Obama bipartisanship means growing the movement, by bringing more people on board. It does not mean allowing the converts and new comers to change any of the rules of the game. Bipartisanship meant that the Republicans could come to the table with their stimulus ideas, as long as they left their "phony ideas" and "failed policies" of the past behind. We saw this again with the withdrawal of Republican Senator Judd Gregg for Commerce Secretary. Gregg could come on board as long as he did not act like a Republican. And to make sure he did not, responsibility for the census was taken from the department he was to head and put under the control of the White House.

The problem is that when a politician is judged based on personality and not on performance, broken promises and poor performance do not matter. People do not like the politician for what he says he will do and then judge him on whether he actually does it, but because of the representations of himself, the symbolism, which he has worked hard to create. Political accountability goes out the window. It was the personality that attracted the followers in the first place and the personality does not change.

A manifestation of this is found in polling which shows that while Barack Obama's personal approval rating remains high, support for the Stimulus Bill lags far behind. According to a story in the Dallas Morning News of February 16, only 38% of those polled in a Rasmussen poll think the massive spending bill will help the economy, while 29% say it will hurt, and 24% say it will have little effect. In addition, those in Congress who voted against the Bill seem to be more favourably viewed by voters than those who voted for it. Obama's own popularity rating, however, is above 60%. How can this be? The Stimulus Bill, which is owned by Barack Obama, is much less popular than Obama himself. Again, it is the cult of the personality. It is not what Obama does which his supporters care about, since the movement is about Obama.

How much longer this disconnect between Obama the personality and Obama the policy maker will go on is the big question. For the sake of political accountabilty and rational policy making, I hope it does not go on for too much longer.

11 comments:

  1. I guess we're all disappointed about something-- I still haven't forgiven Obama's flip flopping on telecom immunity, and now his DoJ is asserting state secrets in a big rendition/torture case in California. But there are still some reasons to be pleased: though his Cabinet picks have been pretty weak, the sub-Cabinet people are terrific. Cass Sunstein (Regulatory Affairs!), Neal Katyal (Deputy S.G.!), Marty Lederman (OLC!) and Elena Kagan (S.G.!), for instance, are all wonderful picks. And that's where a lot of the nuts and bolts of governance happens.

    As for bipartisanship, it's hard to argue that the fault lies anywhere but the GOP. They did not support any proposal but a 100% tax cut bill. Even after the Senate moderates reduced the spending and increased the tax cuts, no other GOP senators voted for it. And though the bill came out of conference nearly 10% smaller than it left the House, not a single Republican congressman voted for the revised version. Perhaps the GOP governors should "stand on principle" (though they will not be standing in a very distinguished group) and reject the funds for their states.

    The reason the GOP isn't supporting the bill isn't ideology, it's politics. As you said, President Obama 'owns' the package. If it succeeds, it will be his win, not Republicans', even if they had voted for it. But if it fails, the GOP can now say, "We told you so."

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  2. When you are invited to participate in the drafting of the stimulus bill as long as you do not come to the table with your "phony ideas and failed policies of the past", is it any surprise that no Republican would actually accept the invite and come to the table? Its like me inviting you to dinner as long as you try to restrain your obnoxious habits while visiting.

    In terms of the Bill itself, why would anyone support it? Did you know that ACORN is getting about $2 billion in "stimulative" spending?
    ACORN is now busy trying to shut down foreclosure auctions across the USA with civil disobedience tactics, protests, and intimidation of auctioneers and bidders. Fine enough - America is a free country and as long as people do not break the law, protest is legitimate. But why should the USA taxpayer have to ante up $2 billion so that protest groups can disrupt lawful free market activity? What is being stimulated here?

    Thanks for your comment Scott. As usual it is thoughtful and informative.

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  3. Obama: "cult of personality"
    McCain: "great American hero"
    All in the eye of the beholder?

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  4. Ron:

    I agree that one can argue about why Obama is popular - i.e. personality or ability.

    What it indeniable however is John McCain's heroism and character. Find me one politician or analyst from any political persuasion who does not admire McCain.

    Lew

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  5. Hi Professor Klar,

    In 2000, you're right, it would have been nearly impossible to find anyone who didn't admire Senator McCain. But it would be equally difficult to find someone whose admiration hasn't dimmed a little bit after the 2008 campaign.

    Here's a detailed piece about the widespread feeling that Senator McCain sacrificed some of his honour in the last stages of the presidential race.

    (Parenthetically, incase you're not a fan of the New Yorker, which would make me very sad as it is my favorite Sunday afternoon, the magazine was an early and enthusiastic McCain fan; also Ryan Lizza's campaign profile of Barack Obama was attacked by Obama fans as exceedingly harsh and unfair for suggesting he is a creature of Chicago politics).

    The article echoes the post-mortem consensus that after Steve Schmidt took the reins, the campaign ceded the high ground McCain had so nobly chose in 2000.

    Like many people, until Summer 2008 I had nothing but respect for McCain, largely due to a 2000 piece about him by one of my favorite authors, David Foster Wallace (it first appeared in Rolling Stone, was edited and expanded for his collection Consider the Lobster, and published on its own last year as McCain's Promise: Aboard the Straight Talk Express. The original version, not as good as the other ones, but free, is available here).

    In other news, I am in Mexico with my parents. Hope you're having a good break. See you Tuesday,

    Scott

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  6. Hey Scott - -

    I definitely appreciate your comments re: Obama's cabinet picks but there is an interesting piece in The Politico this morning about how few (meaning how none) of them have any business experience. A team of academics, writers, thinkers, and bureaucrats might not be the greatest entourage for a guy trying to fix the economy.

    Granted, one could argue rather persuasively that Bush's team of CEOs didn't help all that much either but it is something to think about...

    Here's the piece:
    http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0209/19066.html

    Best,
    Sam

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  7. Hey Sam! Long time, no see. That's an interesting article. I was surprised-- Obama didn't seem at all anti-business during the campaign. Not a day went buy without the appearance of Warren Buffett or Eric Schmidt. Very strange that few business people ended up getting a job. I'm not sure if there are any stats about whether CEOs have made especially good Cabinet secretaries, though.

    And it's hard to argue that the Obama economics team isn't distinguished-- Paul Volcker, Austan Goolsbee, Christina Romer, Tim Geithner, and Larry Summers are all not really the rag-tag, Lost Boys team of academics, writers, thinkers, and bureaucrats you mentioned.

    Also the President's Economic Recovery Advisory Board includes several high-profile CEOs, like Jeff Immelt of GE, and the chief executives of Caterpillar, Pritzker/Hyatt, and Oracle. Unfortunately, it also includes another classic bad appointment: Robert Wolf, the US Chairman of UBS-- the fast-failing Swiss bank now negotiating its way out of criminal tax evasion cases. President Obama seems unable to avoid mixing in a few terrible choices when he picks his political appointees.

    Hopefully soon we can bicker about this in person again,

    Scott

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  8. I very much agree with Scott M's comments, especially about the New Yorker as a source of in-depth and thoughtful political coverage. I also think that we need not worry about personality overwhelming policy. This is a moment when policy outcomes truly matter, and it's how Obama will be judged--as he has been the first to say. Things like ACORN and whether Republicans have hurt feelings are really small beans. These massive financial measures will be easy targets for critics for a long time to come--there will be inevitable wastage, and no doubt low-level graft. The only question that matters is whether these measures work or not on the macro level. I have little idea about how they should be designed. The idea, however, that action is needed, and that preventing mass foreclosures is a good idea for both social and economic reasons seems irrefutable. At this point, I can't think of anyone other than this bright, pragmatic, flexible man I'd rather have making these decisions. It's just a bonus that he's so coool.

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  9. This "bright, pragmatic, flexible man" is delivering for his supporters, right?

    Like keeping troops in Iraq according to the Generals' timetable, sending 17,000 more troops to fight another war in Afghanistan, flying drones over Pakistan and bombing, opposing gay marriage, supporting rendition, and increasing the US deficit by a few trillion dollars.

    That's what you always liked about him, pjohnc, isn't it?

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  10. Excellent post and comments Prof. Klar. You summed up my opinion of the man beautifully.

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  11. Beware of charisma.
    Marnie Tunay
    http://fakirscanada.googlepages.com/

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